announced mergerENG-2026-0615-FOXA-ROKU·June 15, 2026·Methodology OL-Merger-2026.6

Fox → Roku ($22B) — Engine-Derived M&A Teardown

Real $22B enterprise-value acquisition, analyzed end-to-end via the OloLand merger toolchain. The headline is a modest +11.4% premium; the buried number is the $14.2B of cash — funded by a $12B Morgan Stanley bridge — that drives a ~40% Year-1 EPS hit. The teardown below is exactly what a buy-side PM receives from a single Claude Cowork session: every figure is engine-derived from the announcement and FY25 filings, and replayable from deal record merger_395c4ea16cde.

Source of record
Fox Corporation — “Fox Corporation to Acquire Roku, Inc.” press release (June 15, 2026)

All engine inputs trace to publicly-filed primary sources: the Fox press release and Form 8-K (filed 2026-06-15) and Roku's FY2025 Form 10-K. The buy-side analysis was generated against those filings — not against press summaries. Forward EPS, synergy phasing, interest rate, and CTV ad-market / HHI inputs are analyst estimates, clearly identified as such in the report; results are sensitive to them.

Interactive teardown

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Engine ledger — every number is replayable

Each run ID below is a deterministic engine invocation persisted in OloLand's observability layer under deal record merger_395c4ea16cde. A subscriber can replay any of them, audit the inputs, and reproduce the output. That's what “verifiable” means in our subhead.

Premium analysis
+11.37% to unaffected ($143.66 → $160)
run_id 7367a91a
Accretion / dilution
Y1 −39.85% · Y2 −35.47% · Y3 −31.23%
run_id a5ca605e
Antitrust HHI
post-HHI 1,538 · ΔHHI +130 · presumptive flag
run_id c6343ac4
Combined DCF
synergy NPV ~$3.2B @ 8.5% WACC vs ~$2.4B premium
run_id 2d0f4dd7

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Premium analysis, accretion-dilution, antitrust HHI screen, and a combined DCF — generated end-to-end from public filings. Every output carries a run_id you can replay.

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